He will start in 16th position, leaving all of us in a strange DFS limbo. The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. Stenhouse got to the front when it mattered and became a Daytona 500 champion last week. In fact, if you want to positively correlate them in the optimizer settings while building lineups, Id suggest that avenue. 16 Kaulig Racing driver has a pair of eighth-place finishes while running for JTG, in 2014 and 2016. Coleman Hawkins was the top player for Illinois finishing with 14 points and 11 rebounds. Lead Driver: Denny Hamlin (21.6): Hamlin is one of the safest picks Michigan, with two wins in the last three races, and is a must have for each team this week.Second Driver: Tony Stewart (22.4): Smoke has an AFP of 6.0 at Michigan, and at a cost of 22.4, he is an ideal candidate for another top point scorer.Third Driver: Joey Logano (19.0): With two top 10s in the last three races at Michigan and having a similar car to that of teammate Denny Hamlin, Logano should be a top 10 contender.Fourth Driver: AJ Allmendinger (20.0): With an AFP of 13.67 over the last three races at Michigan, The Dinger is a fairly safe and affordable pick for the fourth driver this week. 23 on the schedule and that means there are only four races left until the playoffs begin. Reddick will start from back in 14th for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400, but has legitimate top 10 finishing potential (and will be pushing a little harder with the Playoffs on the line these next two races). Trying to find a sleeper pick with odds is just a good way to rack your brain because you cant make up your mind of which 50/1 driver you should pick for you team. If you look at practice times at the first race at Michigan, things are a little confusing, because the top three drivers in second practice were David Stremme, JJ Yeley and Travis Kvapil. Im instead opting for Almirolas +500 odds, and heres why. In summer 2019 in his next most recent race, Larson finished 3rd and had a 13.3 average running position. Tyler Reddick ($9,100)Career at Auto Club: 2 starts, 0 wins, 0 top fives, 0 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 17.5. This #23 Toyota is starting to run consistently better than early on in the year, and at Pocono last month (another high horsepower track), Bubba had the 12th-fastest Green Flag Speed. DENNY HAMLIN (3): What should we do with Hamlin and his Dr. If Larson carries the momentum over from last year, he should be fast right off the bat this weekend. 11:01 am ET, check out the optimal NASCAR at Michigan DFS strategy and lineup advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure, sharing his picks and NASCAR DFS driver pool and top picks here, You can see who it is, and every other pick, right here, Visit SportsLine now to see DFS millionaire Mike McClure's complete driver pool for DraftKings and FanDuel, NASCAR changes package for short tracks, road courses, 2023 Pennzoil 400 predictions, odds, sims, picks, Crash Course: Kyle Busch starts his second act, NASCAR Power Rankings: Kyle Busch flies to first, Top NASCAR experts reveal 2023 Pala Casino 400 picks, NASCAR DFS: FireKeepers Casino 400 picks for Michigan, Rowdy flies to the top of the charts at Fontana, NASCAR changes rules for short tracks, road courses, Chastain signs long-term deal to remain Trackhouse, Alex Bowman wins Daytona 500 pole for the third time, Alex Bowman signs with Hendrick through 2026, Durant Era in Phoenix has the air of inevitability. And which value driver is a must-roster? Top 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 NASCAR DFS picks For NASCAR at Michigan, McClure is high on Kyle Busch ($10,500 on DraftKings and $13,500 on Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Micah Roberts revealed his NASCAR picks for the Pala Casino 400 2023 on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. It can be tricky picking the right five drivers each week, but I thought I could offer some advice for tips and drivers to use for this weeks race in Michigan. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Pennzoil 400: Las Vegas Picks, Odds & Race Preview. Kyle Larson 2. Otherwise, he likely would have had a good finish. AD has a career average finish of 16.4 here at Michigan International Speedway and has finished 16th or better in eight of the last eleven races at this track. Last year, Reddicks race wasnt incident free, and he finished an asterisk mark 29th. His average running position was about 29th! Despite sitting in 11th place in NASCAR standings, Reddick's Fantasy production indicates he's an elite driver. By default it is sorted by average projected FPTS. Kyle Larson Try selecting a different location. If you have any thoughts or ideas youd like to share, hit me up on Twitter at @thewonkypenguin. Terrence Shannon Jr is averaging 17.1 points while shooting 44.1 percent from the field. 1. We might get two, but with Kyle Larson on the pole this weekend, it could very well be a one-dominator build. WebFIREKEEPERS CASINO 400 PICKS & PREDICTIONS Heres a list of the favorites to win Sunday with odds provided by BetMGM sportsbooks: Chase Elliott (6/1) has four wins this season and his 7.7 average finish in 11 starts at Michigan is the best among active drivers. With one Michigan victory already under his belt in 2011, Busch is still experiencing only successes at the D-shaped oval track. The NASCAR Cup Series schedule continues on Sunday with the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. The talk of the weekend is how the Toyotas dominated practice and qualifying, but for DFS purposes we need to extend beyond the Toyotas and look at the whole field. I dont believe my model does the SHR cars justice thanks to their lackluster performances at similar tracks this year, but we cant ignore their practice speed. Ricky Stenhouse Hamlin runs up front and scores very well in Fantasy Live one week and then he looks like complete garbage the next week. Unfortunately, that was one of Stenhouses few bright spots of the season. Kyle Larson 2. Play Erik Jones at $8100. 10 Smithfield Ford ranked second in average running position (behind Jones) among drivers in this group at high tire wear races in 2022, which, combined with the best average finish, suggests he should be shorter than the other two drivers listed at +500 and priced closer to Jones. Under 10:1, we also find Ross Chastain and Joey Logano. The Preview Show crew predicts the top fantasy picks and bad bets at Michigan International Speedway. Copyright 1995 - 2023 No wins yet. Speedweeks provided a shockingly profitable start to the NASCAR season for me. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns. ET on USA. Dillon/Suarez as well with Alex Bowman rounding it out. This is a very safe cash lineup to use, in my opinion. Picking Denny Hamlin for your team will not guarantee a win in your fantasy league, but picking him will help your chances of not losing since most of the other team owners will more than likely have him as well. Eat the chalk with Pasta this weekend, especially in cash games. Head to SportsLine to The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to Michigan International Speedway (MIS) Sunday for the FireKeepers Casino 400. And with four drivers priced +800 or lower, the books clearly favor the top tier at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. ET Fantasy Football. Perhaps a homecoming could do wonders for Keselowski as the Detroit-area native prepares for the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. Here are the picks for the FireKeepers Casino 400. This chart measures speed by segments in each race. Michigan State is 15-14-0 ATS this season. Qualifying in NASCAR is not always as important as it is other series such as F1, but there are certain tracks where qualifying can be important. Also, be sure to check out the Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order for this race by clicking here! Trailing Busch is 2021 Cup Series champ Kyle Larson, who finished runner-up in this race last year, but has had a lackluster start to 2023, with finishes of 18th and 29th to kick off the campaign. Pictured: NASCAR Cup Series driver Aric Almirola. In 2020 #2, Busch started 16th, but he had no trouble advancing in the running order en route to his 4th place finish. For a slightly lesser cost, you could fill you teams spot with Newmans teammate and boss, Tony Stewart. ET on Sunday, and Keselowski could be an appealing NASCAR DFS pick despite this season's struggles. Daytona 500 Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Rankings/ Post Duel Predictions. The only other 2-mile track that used to be on the schedule is Auto Club Speedway. Enjoy the FREE content that this site offers each week? Elliott is a legitimate top 5 threat on Sunday and if he can just pick up a handful of dominator points along the way, hes going to be worth taking the risk on in DraftKings at just $9,200 salary. Despite posting strong results in this race in recent years, Busch hasn't won in Vegas since 2009, but he looks set to recapture his dominant form, now with RCR. Over the combined events, Reddick has the 2nd best driver rating and the 7th best Total Speed Ranking. Check out our FanDuel Michigan Playability Fantasy Value Chart. Fantasy sports are one of the most popular activities among sports fans, and NASCAR has it own fun fantasy sports system. Three of those races were with a very low tier team, and last years event saw him in the top five until he spun late in the race. Grab This Top 10 Prop Bet For The NASCAR Race At Daytona 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks, Projections, & Strategy Breakdown (Coke Watkins Glen NASCAR Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order (Go Bowling At The Watkins Glen DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Go Bowling Michigan is a 2-mile race track. BJ McLeod 1. Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks. ET . Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. Leagues are still filling up! The emotion of Well, he just cant be this bad runs into the statistical evidence that Well, yes, he can.. The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole position for the first time in his career. Wallace was the only driver to go above 190 mph in the final round of qualifying. Christopher Bell, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Austin Cindric round out the top 5. However, I do like being underweight on him in tournament formats. Its the same story with Blaney as it is with Chase Elliott this weekend: pick up some dominator points and a top 5 finish and the moderate DraftKings salary would be worth it. Illinois is averaging 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points per game. Now, RCR isnt as strong as the other teams, but it does have some wins in recent years. Larson had a top 10 average speed in four of last years five events at high-tire wear tracks, including at Homestead en route to the win. In the race, Reddick made an unexpected pit stop on lap 25 for a tire issue, and then later on lap 143 he had contact with Preece which damaged the #8. These were just single lap times, but where the good information lies in the 10 lap average speed. The SHR Cars:With all the focus on the Toyotas, lets not overlook the speed of the Stewart-Haas Racing cars. Sharp NASCAR bettors are at it again, and it appears like sportsbooks didn't learn their lesson from the 2022 season. 1 Trackhouse Racing Team Chevrolet didnt finish well in the first Darlington race, but he placed eighth in the Southern 500 and second at Homestead. In addition, the driver of the No. Alex Bowman 3. ET, FOX) at Auto Club Speedway, Im taking a very conservative approach for three key reasons: As a result, Im essentially sitting out of Sundays race at Auto Club except for the following group bet thats posted at Caesars Sportsbook. Welcome back to victory lane, Ricky Stenhouse Jr. and JTG Daugherty Racing! The fifth and final spot on a fantasy team may not seem that important, but I believe selecting a good fifth driver is what separates good teams from bad teams. GARAGE DRIVER: TYLER REDDICK (3): Reddick will have some momentum Sunday after his win at the Brickyard last week. When teams are in practice, they are looking for the best set up for the car in race trim. August 6, 2022 Fantasy Live Picks. Christopher Bell 4. This is kind of like looking at the qualifying speeds, but I find that the practice speeds are a more valuable tool. Congrats to hooviej1125 on their win last week! Chase Elliott qualifying at 13th also seems like a gift with his prominent run of late and success at superspeedways. Looking at the 550hp package races this year, Reddick five finishes of 9th or better in the eight races and only two results worse than 11th (he was 22nd at Las Vegas and 26th in the first Atlanta race). I would be surprised to see him finish this afternoon outside of the top 10. Anybody who has followed his picks has seen huge returns. WebSportsLine's Mike McClure, a DFS pro with almost $2 million in winnings, gives his top NASCAR daily Fantasy picks Chase Elliott ($9,200) My projections really like Chase Elliott this weekend, and even though its pretty uncomfortable to put together a DraftKings lineup with both front row starters on it, that strategy could definitely work out this weekend at Michigan. Fantasy Fallout: With Gavin Lux Out, Could A Sleeper Emerge? Reddick notched his second career Cup Series victory last week at the Indy Road Course. Get a preview of the field with our Pennzoil 400 odds, and be sure to check back later in the week for a full race preview and, Pennzoil 400: Las Vegas Picks, Odds & Race Preview, NASCAR Cup Series Odds: Busch Makes First Move, Climbs Into No. You could also go Ryan Blaney instead of Chase Elliott in that second lineup spot. He also ranked 11th-fastest in that category in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte. Anybody who has followed his picks has seen huge returns. Instead of selecting the winning team or manufacturer, we will earn 10 bonus points for selecting the driver who finishes the best in a Head-to-Head matchup.
FanDuel Values
,DraftKings Values
, At some point, we have to agree that Brad Keselowski ceases to be valuable when he runs so poorly on a week-in and week-out basis. Kyle Busch is the 11-2 favorite in the NASCAR at Michigan odds followed by Kyle Larson (6-1) and Chase Elliott (13-2). Before making any 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 picks, you NEED to see what SportsLine's Micah Roberts has to say. Drivers also can earn .45 for each fastest lap and .25 for each lap they lead. The winner on the racetrack tallies 45 points, while second place gets 42, third 41 and so on. McClure has won over $2 million in his career as a daily Fantasy pro, and his NASCAR DFS driver pool, projections and advice can help you score a big win. degree in Liberal Studies at California State University Bakersfield in 2010. While leading on lap 158, Larson ran out of fuel. The second table is data from the three races on 2-mile race tracks last season (one race at Auto Club and two races here at Michigan). He has three runner-up finishes on the track and -- along with Erik Jones -- is one of two Michigan natives who will be competing. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns. Below we detail a NASCAR pick at 5-1 odds with value for Sunday's race at Auto Club Speedway. His No. Each of his last nine Michigan appearances have resulted in top 10 finishes, and he's led at some point in seven of those races. That could be a perfect slot to provide value with a great chance of winning Or it can be a DFS wasteland where he doesnt move at all. Read his daily fantasy NASCAR advice and Xfinity sleepers. Reddick also had a top five average speed in this same category at the first Darlington race, coming home in second place. Every year I see Fantasy Live players make the same mistake. As the early NASCAR Cup Series odds begin to evolve, Busch could make a serious statement with a second win in as many weeks, and with Top-5 finishes in this race each of the past two years, it's certainly within his grasp. Give me the fast car at a fast track. Comments from first time commenters are automatically held for moderation by Frontstretch staff. Michigan has long been a great track for Busch, and in 2022 at high-speed intermediate tracks where theres correlation, Busch has been fast and has been a contender to win the last three races. The rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings NASCAR salaries for Saturday. Here are the drivers and latest NASCAR odds included in Group D at Caesars: Theres no denying that Jones should be the favorite of the group, but his -105 odds are steep. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, Tyler Reddick has a less than appealing track record but on Sunday, look for him to be a contender. In 2018, Larson had dud results of 17th and 28th. Thats why Im willing to go against my model here and bump them up. While my model pegs him at about 20% usage, I believe the model is overstating that by several percentage points. FantasyCPR.com is the #1 Fantasy NASCAR site Fantasy NASCAR Picks Recap of the Pure Michigan 400 Welcome back to our fantasy NASCAR coverage for the 2015 season. That does not mean anything if the Cup Series has another first-time winner. Kevin Harvick ($8400) and Aric Almirola ($6800)put up solid practice times, with little tire falloff over the long run. Micah Roberts revealed his NASCAR picks for the Pala Casino 400 2023 on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. Here are the rules for DraftKings' NASCAR fantasy game. By several percentage points almost one-fourth of your budget michigan nascar fantasy picks his picks has seen returns. Default it is, and he finished an asterisk mark 29th in position. 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