In September, 15 percent of Arizona voters said they were still undecided, would vote for another candidate or would not vote in the Senate race but that share was down to 9 percent in the new. Katie Hobbs leads among voters under the age of 45 while Kari Lake leads among voters older than 45, Kari Lake leads in Maricopa, a County that usually determines the eventual winner. Democrat Katie Hobbs held a slim lead over Republican challenger Kari Lake on Sunday as. Brett Foto and his fiancee were vacationing in Phoenix last fall when they heard about a rally nearby for Kari Lake, then running for governor of Arizona. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. She worked at Fox between 1999 and 2021. 28% say they will vote in-person on Election Day. U.S. Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, D-Ariz., and Hobbs, who was then running for secretary of state,slowly climbed to victory as day-of ballots were counted in 2018. TPG: The Sinaloa Cartels and the treasonous Americans who work with them are destroying our country by flooding Arizona with dangerous drugs and crime.. Vroom Stock Forecast: Will VRM Stock Rise Above $2? Hobbs' campaign manager has blamed Lake and her allies for "spreading dangerous misinformation and inciting threats against anyone they see fit." For Katie Hobbs, the recent poll numbers may not be encouraging as she has been trying to avoid debating Kari Lake. candidate Katie Hobbs CLOSED AT 1:00 . However, the last two Kari Lake Polls have favored Kari Lake and have shown Lake leading by 3% over Katie Hobbs. Feb 25. Arizona races senate house governor sec. The voters with Immigration and Border control as their main concern are likely to back Kari Lake. Katie Hobbs, Arizona's Democratic secretary of state, has defeated Kari Lake, a Trump-endorsed former TV anchor in the Arizona governor's race, CBS News projects. Hobbs, Arizona's secretary of state and a former lawmaker, now leads Kari Lake, the Republican nominee and former television news anchor, by more than 34,000 votes, such a slight change the race was still separated by1.4 percentage points. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. White and Hispanic voters are more likely to vote for Kari Lake while the Black voters are solidly behind Katie Hobbs. In Maricopa County's latest report, Lakecarried 52% of those votes to Hobbs' 48%, enough to give Lake a boost but not close Hobbs' lead. TUCKER CARLSON: Age is more than a number for Biden and for all of us, McMaster warns next two years could be 'dangerous period' for US-China-Taiwan during debut China Cmte hearing, Chicago ousts embattled Mayor Lori Lightfoot, as race heads to runoff without her, Wisconsin GOP likely to drop flat tax from budget. 2022 Arizona Governor Exit Poll. RT @Rasmussen_Poll: Arizona Senate Hearing on Thursday. Hobbs has been elected Arizona governor, defeating Kari Lake, an ally of Donald Trump who falsely claimed the 2020 election was rigged and refused to say she would accept the results of her race this year. By John Waller. Hobbs' advantage also was padded throughout the day by favorable returnsin Pima and Coconino counties. PHOENIX - Arizona gubernatorial candidate Karrin Taylor Robson and U.S. Senate hopeful Jim Lamon are within single digits of the front-runners in their Republican primary races, according to. Kari Lake is a highly polarizing candidate. Multi-racial and other small demographic groups make up for another 9% of the voters. In 2022, the DEA nationwide seized over 50.6 million deadly fentanyl-laced fake prescription pills and over 10,000 pounds of fentanyl powder, half . A 36-year-old man was later arrested on a single count of third-degree burglary, and NBC reported there did not appear to be evidence that the break-in was politically motivated. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. The2022 Arizona gubernatorial electionwill take place on November 8, 2022, between former news Anchor Kari Lake of the Republican Party and current Secretary of State, Katie Hobbs of the Democratic Party. Lawsuits claim it wrecked their teeth. Most of the voters with abortion as the main issue back Katie Hobbs. Lake gained ground among Maricopa County voters, where officials reported a big update of 97,000 votes in the evening. Cartels control your government. By Zeeshan Aleem, MSNBC Opinion Writer/Editor. Tags Poll Data Kari Lake George Khalaf Politics Majority of Arizona Voters Have Already Voted 56% of Arizona voters say they have already voted by mail (52%) or at an early voting location (4%). A California-based law firm has accused Arizona Gov. They've rigged the last 2 elections and even shut down Maricopa machines right in front of your faces in 2022. Notice any bugs or missing polls? More than 290,000 ballots were dropped off Tuesdayin Maricopa County, a record-breaking number compared withrecent election years. ET: This article was updated with comment from Hobbs' campaign. Arizona Republican gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake, who has pushed false conspiracies about the 2020 presidential election, has seen a wave of support from corporate leaders in her bid for. Powered and implemented byFactSet Digital Solutions. As per the latest 2020 Census figures, Whites alone make up for 53% of the States population while Hispanics make up 32% of the States population. Governor, Arizona, 2022 AVG. Indicates a polling average for this poll type. "Our elected officials tell us if we dare bring it up we are conspiracy theorists, we are election deniers. According to Breger, installed Democrat Arizona Governor Katie Hobbs, who was Secretary of State presiding over the gubernatorial election against Republican Kari Lake, has a long and demonstrable history of corruption that includes using Mexican cartel money to steal multiple state elections. avg. Hobbs win is a relief for democracy watchers. 2022 Governor Election Results > Arizona Arizona Governor Polls Gov. Former Democratic president Barack Obama has thrown his support behind her, appearing with her at a rally in Phoenix on Wednesday. Among registered Arizona voters, Kelly leads Masters for points, 49 percent to 45 percent. . Rob Schumacher / The Republic via Imagn, file, Katie Hobbs: 2022 midterms is a choice between sanity or chaos. The polls have given both candidates Kari Lake and Katie Hobbs equal chances of winning the race. Editing by Sarah Frostenson. Lake's rival in the race to win the governor's position, Arizona's Secretary of State Hobbs, worked as a social worker for many years. AZ International Auto Show & New Car Buyer's Guide 2020 Model Year, Taunts Maricopa County election officials after stoking fears on mail-in ballots, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Microsoft Stock Forecast 2023: Is MSFT a Safe Bet in 2023? It included 550 likely. Ballot returns so far from both counties have generally favored Hobbs, who has maintained the lead since Tuesday, though Lake significantly narrowed that gap as day-of election votes were counted. As secretary of state, she oversaw the states administration of elections, and she represents credible vote counting in an era in which the GOP has rallied behind the idea that inconvenient losses are proof of fraud. A pivotal day of vote counting in Arizona on Saturday saw Democratic candidate for governor Katie Hobbs slightly widen her lead over her Republican opponent, though the race was still too close to call. The Gateway Pundit reported that Tempe Police seized over 30 million lethal doses of fentanyl. While it raised eyebrows on the left, the decision mightve been a strategically effective move. PHOENIX - Democrat Katie Hobbs and Republican Kari Lake, front-runners in the race for Arizona governor for 2022, have added to their numbers, a new voters' poll showed Tuesday. Katie Hobbs, Secretary of State Adrian Fontes, Runbeck Election Services, and a slew of other election officials, mayors, judges, city councilman, and county supervisors in the state of receiving bribes from the Sinaloa cartel. During a Thursday hearing before the Senate Elections and Municipal Oversight & Elections Joint Committee, the . She framed it as a boycott of Lakes fervent 2020 election denialism, but many speculated she was worried about being outshone on the debate stage. Now here is a fun fact, Biden is at -47.1% while Trump is at -56.1%. Arizona Republican gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake takes part in a campaign rally attended by former President Donald Trump on October 9, 2022 in Mesa, Arizona. She has made border security, election reform and a "tough love" homelessness policy central to her campaign. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided byRefinitiv Lipper. ", Despite Lake's increasing popularity over the past few weeks, she has proved to be a controversial candidate after falsely claiming Trump was cheated out of the White House because the last election was "rigged" and "corrupt.". After the update, she needed to win more than 58%. Lake won the majority of those, over 54%, eating into Hobbs' lead in the county and cutting it from about 57,000 votes to 48,500. Around 45% of the respondents believed that the rising Gas price, deteriorating economic conditions,s and rising inflation will be the most important factor for deciding voting preference. DC_Draino (@DC_Draino) February 27, 2023 Democrat Katie Hobbs addresses supporters on Election Night, Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. The other factors may not impact the voters as much as these three factors may impact. Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. Newsweek reached out to campaign staff for both candidates for comment on the various polls' findings. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included. All Rights Reserved. A judge in Arizona judge ruled that the state can enforce a near-total abortion ban after Roe vs Wade was overturned. The tight contest between incumbent Democrat Mark Kelly and GOP challenger Blake Masters is key to both parties' hopes to control the. Arizona gubernatorial election, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary) Election news November 14, 2022: Hobbs led with 50.7% of the vote to Lake's 49.3%. Why is Kari Lake not running away with a landslide, just like Governor Ducey? 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. A new batch of nearly 100,000 votes released in Arizona's most populous county Sunday made Republican Kari Lake's path to winning an intensely-watched governor race more difficult. Katie Hobbs leads Kari Lake by 35 points amongst Moderate voters. November 11, 2022: Hobbs led with 50.4% of the vote to Lake's 49.6%. In over a decade, the race for the office of Arizonas Governornor for the first time became competitive as in the last few elections, the Republicans have had an easy run. We look forward to the days ahead.". We're confident that Arizonans will make their voices heard and vote for sanity over chaos. 2022 Arizona Governor Elections Predictions. Katie Hobbs needs a 6% swing from historic averages to win the election, and Kari Lake needs to keep the losses below that. A new poll by HighGround shows Kari Lake is up to 39%, while Karrin Taylor Robson is at 35.3% in the Arizona GOP gubernatorial race. Facebook Google Plus Instagram Mail To LinkedIn Pinterest Pinterest Tumblr Twitter Youtube magnify Burger Menu Icon icon dropdown The most up-to-date statistics were revealed by opinion poll analysis website FiveThirtyEight on November 4, which has been creating aggregate polls with data from various surveys. The election has been predicted to be a close one and as of now, it may still be considered to be a toss-up. Both Lake and Hobbs are highly backed by the respective Republican and Democrat voters. Katie Hobbs speaks at a campaign event at Cesar Chavez High School on November 2, 2022, in Phoenix, Arizona. Hobbs was up by 26,011 votes, a 50.5%-49.5% lead as of Sunday night. The 2022 Arizona gubernatorial election occurred on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Arizona concurrently with other federal and state elections. Arizona was won by Dem. United States gubernatorial elections were held on November 8, 2022, in 36 states and three territories. Yet as the remaining number of ballots left to count dwindles, Lake's path to surpassing Hobbs' statewide advantage becomes more difficult though not impossible. Hobbs led Lake by just over 26,000 votes on Sunday night, with a slim 1 percentage point gap between the two. Mark Gordon speaks about House Bill 65 during a signing ceremony on Thursday, Feb. 23, 2023, at the state Capitol in Cheyenne. Kari Lake leads by 10-15% in the most critical Independent voter group. Tensions are running high in the state, and there are fears there have been politically-motivated attacks against each of the candidate's campaign offices. PHOENIX Arizona's Democratic governor, Katie Hobbs, is seeking a review of what her office alleges was "likely unethical conduct" by the state's former attorney general, Mark Brnovich. By Halloween, Lake polled 48.7 percent, while Hobbs had 46 percent, and on November 3, FiveThirtyEight had Lake on 48.7 percent, with Hobbs registering 46.2 percent. Arizona Governor Remains a Toss-Up Last updated Aug. 12, 2022, 8:51 a.m. PDT Steve Shepard Chief POLITICO election reporter The race between Democrat Katie Hobbs and Republican Kari Lake is. Follow her on Twitter@sbarchenger. Katie Hobbs, several of the Maricopa County Supervisors, 12 Maricopa County Superior Court judges and the mayor of Mesa of taking bribes from the Sinaloa drug cartel . That woman, an insurance agent accused Arizona Gov. On Thursday February 23, 2023 the Arizona Legislature's Senate Elections Committee and House Municipal Oversight & Elections Committee held a joint hearing. I don't know why there aren't massive protests in Arizona by now. We're seeing great energy and momentum on the campaign trail, and our message of lower costs, protecting fundamental freedoms, and defending our democracy are resonating with Democrats, Republicans and independent voters. A major new poll shows a significant long-term surge in support for abortion rights across America, with strong . The website says that, on May 16, it was Hobbs who was out in front, polling 51.8 percent compared to Lake's 46.8 percent. On Social media, her net rating is at -65%, and Katie Hobbs who has been pilloried by Kari Lake is at -56.9%. Lake won 70% of Election Day votes statewide this year. Vote for Kari Lake - She has my Complete and Total Endorsement!". Watch a non-stop stream of breaking news, live events and stories across the nation. Kari Lake: Taunts Maricopa County election officials after stoking fears on mail-in ballots, "We've seen this time and time again, and nothing's being done," Lake told Fox News' Tucker Carlson on Friday. But Lake has also alleged the timing of the vote counting and length of the process were atypical, though Maricopa County officials dispute that claim. Follow us @WNDNews Why the AP hasn't called the Arizona governor's race, Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. She is a smart, well liked, and sensible person that would help with . Voters are electing a candidate to serve as governor. Former President Donald Trump embraces Republican candidate for governor Kari Lake at a "Save America" rally in support of GOP candidates in Prescott Valley, Ariz., July 22, 2022. 11, 2022 at. The high profile election to replace him features Trump-endorsed former news anchor Kari Lake and Democratic Secretary of State Katie Hobbs. 2022 Polls: Arizona Governor Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster General Election Show: 10 All The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. . Democrat Katie Hobbs has been elected governor of Arizona, NBC News projects. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. Read the latest here. The Democratic gubernatorial nominee was leading Kari Lake in May, but she has seen her lead whittled down, and her Republican opponent is now slightly ahead, according to the latest poll. Discussion in 'General Chat' started by just1morething, Feb 26, 2023 at 4:16 AM. Ironically, the Hispanic population of Arizona grew at a faster pace under Donald Trump than Barack Obama and it appears now that Hispanic voters will take Kari Lake over the finishing line. The latest: AP projected at 9:20pm ET that Hobbs had defeated Lake. Social Media Sentiment: Kari Lake: -54%, Katie Hobbs -27.1%. The race remained too close to call. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. Watch Live: Closing arguments underway in double murder trial of Alex Murdaugh, Top McCarthy aide, House Oversight chair each met with Ashli Babbitt's mother, Garland testifies before Senate panel amid ongoing special counsel probes, Ex-Georgia star Jalen Carter was racing in deadly crash, arrest warrants allege, Fiery train crash in Greece kills dozens, many of them students. "But she needs these remainingrounds of ballots to be incredibly Republican leaning from here on out. Midterm Elections. View latest 2022 election exit polls results, including by demographic information for US voters. The winner of this primary will be the Republican Party's nominee for governor this November. Send us an email. How to Vote in Arizona's Upcoming 2022 Election Most Arizonans vote by mail, but you can also vote early in person without an excuse. Latinos make up the majority in Phoenix and Tucson as well as along the border. The gubernatorial elections took place concurrently with several other federal, state, and local elections, as part of the 2022 . Regardless of party, at least a plurality of voters say they have already voted. The Democratic Party Candidate Katie Hobbs, 52, was a social worker until 2010 before being elected to the Arizona House of Representatives as a Democrat 2010. Published: Jun. Lake may walk out with more support among this section of voters. Immigration and border security is influencing factors among 33% of the respondents. According to the latest data orbital poll, 10-15% of republicans are voting for Katie Hobbs, According to the latest Data Orbital Poll, Kari Lake leads by 6% among Men while trailing by 1% among Women. Primary day in Arizona is August 2, 2022. Do Americans Have A Favorable Opinion Of Donald Trump? Pima County, Arizona's second largest and home to Tucson, added about 12,000 votes to its totals, which Hobbs won 60% to Lake's 40%. All rights reserved. A winner in the Arizona senate race has yet to be declared. This is the most important county in the state, and maybe the country. Pollster, Matt Towery, believes it may have been an anomaly. Darn it, we've got to start bringing this up.". Most of those are from counties that house Arizona's population centers, including Tucson in Pima County and Phoenix in Maricopa County. Phoenix Police Department have confirmed their own officers are investigating, according to Fox News. Reach reporter Stacey Barchenger at stacey.barchenger@arizonarepublic.com or 480-416-5669. Copyright 2023 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. Lake (R) +4.0. Explore the 2022 governor elections results. Hobbs win over Republican Kari Lake is a major victory for democratic norms. Hobbs condemned the incident and released a statement that read: "Political violence, threats, or intimidation have no place in our democracy. 34.5% are registered as a Republican31.0% are registered as a Democrat33.7% are registered as an Independent, The Republican Party Candidate Kari Lake, 53, is a former evening anchor at Fox-10 in Phoenix Arizona. In 2020, Republicans who typically voted early saw a boost among voters who cast ballots on Election Day, which helped Donald Trump close the gap on Joe Biden, who ultimately won the state by about 10,500 voters. Both candidates are performing worse than Biden and Trump both of who are not exactly popular at the moment. She ran a campaign for governor on pledges to defend democracy as she did following the 2020 election, receiving threats as a result and restore abortion rights after the U.S. Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade earlier this year. Added to it the latest Kari Lake polls also show Hobbs losing the support of the voters between the ages of 18 to 39. ( Natural News ) A law firm based in California has alleged, without yet offering conclusive evidence, that Arizona Governor Katie Hobbs, Secretary of State Adrian Fontes, Runbeck Election Services, and several other election officials, judges, mayors, city councilmen, and county supervisors in the state received bribes from the Sinaloa cartel. The recent survey by Susquehanna Polling and Research found that six factors were going to influence the voting pattern in the upcoming Arizona Governor election. The state's Republican gubernatorial nominee is ahead of her Democrat rival, Katie Hobbs. Arizona Republican candidate gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake and GOP senatorial candidate Blake Masters wave to supporters at the conclusion of a campaign event on August 1, 2022, in Phoenix. Republicans: Kari Lake 91%, Katie Hobbs: 9%, Democrats: Kari Lake 4%, Katie Hobbs: 95%, Independents: Kari Lake 45%, Katie Hobbs: 52%. Subscribe to azcentral.com today. The poll has a margin of error of 3.09 percentage points. Search titles only; Posted by Member: . PayPal Stock Forecast 2023: PYPL 12 Months Price Target Lowered to $100.6. Flashback: The governor's race was still too close to call on Monday morning, with 160,021 votes left to count statewide, including 94,285 in Maricopa County. Democrats have won very few elections in a state that has recently voted overwhelmingly Republican. While it is true that Kari Lake is underperforming past GOP candidates. August 2, 2022 Arizona Governor Primary Election Results: Kari Lake wins, will face Democrat Katie Hobbs Democratic Primary Results Projected winner Hobbs (D) 99% of expected vote in. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers major. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. This gives the Democratic a small bump of about 2%. During a recent hearing on the security of Arizona elections, the Arizona Senate heard from a woman named Jacqueline Breger. Towery says Masters is pulling a larger share of self-identifying Independent voters. Indicates a polling average for this poll type Candidate is an incumbent Partisan types Democratic-funded Republican-funded Other party-funded Campaign. Still waiting:Why the AP hasn't called the Arizona governor's race. All rights reserved. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. Live 2022 Arizona election results and maps by county and district. More on the 2022 Midterm. Kari Lake has an advantage over this section of voters. This could rise to 20% by the end of the election. Follow along live as the final votes are counted. 8, 2022 at 7:36 PM PDT PHOENIX (3TV/CBS 5) -- A new poll shows the governor's race is nearly tied with just a few weeks until early voting starts in the primary. County election officials have counted about 2.3 million votes statewide, but another approximately 265,000 are left to tally. Reach reporter Stacey Barchenger at stacey.barchenger@arizonarepublic.com or 480-416-5669. George Santos Under Scrutiny; CBS News App; Ukraine Crisis; COVID Pandemic; CBS News Live; Managing Your Money; Essentials Shopping; Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress? She was elected to the Arizona Senate in 2012 and served as the Senate Minority Leader. Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster. Read more about the methodology. Doug Ducey (R) is term-limited. Sofi Stock Forecast 2023: Will SOFI Stock Recover? ABC15 elections expert Garrett Archer posted the polling data Monday. WND is now on Trump's Truth Social! It included 550 likely voters, with a margin of error of 4.2%. Kari Lake vs Katie Hobbs, Strengths and Weakness by Demography. Overall, 29 of the 36 incumbent governors up in 2022 are eligible to seek reelection, including 16 Republicans, who also stand to benefit from an incumbency boost. Hobbs win over Republican Kari Lake is a major victory for democratic norms and helps keep a formidable MAGA politician from ascending to an influential office. The key issues among the voters of Arizona are: Abortion has been the central theme of the Katie Hobbs campaign but more than that the issues of the Economy, rising inflation, immigration, and border control are more matters of concern for the Arizona voters. See who won the race for California governor 2022, Texas governor for 2022 and so on. Update: Republican Kari Lake gained ground on Sunday night in the race for Arizona governor, but Democrat Katie Hobbs still held a 26,000-vote lead. Lake spent 22 years as part of an anchor duo on Phoenix's Fox 10 station. Lakes candidacy centered on 2020 election denialism, creating a sharp foil with Hobbs entire job. Trump has publicly backed Lake, writing on Truth Social: "Arizona finally has a chance to have a GREAT Governor. deeds and mortgages since 1997 and as recently as September 2022 . On the Economy, the voters are not happy with both the Federal and the State governments but the ones with the Economy as the main concern are more likely to back Kari Lake. There has been much speculation about which candidate those types of ballots might favor, as voters' behavior has shifted in the relatively short time frame of the last two election cycles. While awaiting results, Hobbs has urged patience. Zeeshan Aleem is a writer and editor for MSNBC Daily. He says in this latest poll, Lake is leading among self-identifying Independents by roughly 7 points. Hobbs, 52, is Arizona's secretary of state and a former state lawmaker. For most of the race, Hobbs, Arizonas secretary of state, held a narrow lead in the polls, but in the final stretches Lake moved slightly ahead. November 5, 2024. Arizona is one red state which is increasingly turning purple as Kari Lakes lead is narrowing in the latest polls. Arizona is a white-majority state with a large Hispanic population. Katie Hobbs wins Arizona governor election in 2022 midterms Opinion Katie Hobbs wins Arizona election and keeps a formidable MAGA politician at bay Hobbs' win over Republican Kari Lake is. Follow her on Twitter@sbarchenger. 2 Lots of governors will be. of state attorney general ballot measure November 8, 2022 Arizona Governor Election Results 2022: Hobbs defeats Lake d Projected winner +Gain. Arizona Gov. Subscribe to azcentral.com today. What Do the Latest Kari Lake Polls Mean For Katie Hobbs? When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Your border is wide open. Andrea Jones-Rooy, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan and Julia Wolfe contributed research. Election coverage: Live voting updates | Arizona election results. The White voters have mostly backed Republicans in the past though Kari Lake appears to be struggling amongst these groups of voters. Arizona, NBC news projects 2023 at 4:16 AM us voters candidates are worse... 2022, in 36 States and three territories Hobbs had defeated Lake she! Writer and editor for MSNBC Daily 28 % say they have already voted votes counted! And Hobbs are highly backed by the end of the vote to Lake & # x27 ; Chat! Mean for Katie Hobbs: 2022 midterms is a major new poll shows a significant long-term in! Struggling amongst these groups of voters that would help with at a rally in on! Withrecent election years has publicly backed Lake, writing on Truth Social live events and across. 550 likely voters, with a slim lead over Republican Kari Lake - she made! 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